Don’t worry about whether accurate or not. The A*****lets way will be:

Step 1:
Declare “With our years of experience (we registered poofy.com in 1992), we calculated that the probability is 1 in 15,235. The other guy cannot calculate this correctly one. If we do get it wrong, feel free to do our job for us and correct us.”

Step 2:
“What do you proport to mean that you are insinuating that it is in actuality 1 in 149M? Are you anti-A*****lets?? Liaise with me at my mobile number and I will show you our tested construct. Your claim is entireless baseless and you are antagonistic. We will have wine. And make sure your England is powderful, because mine is.”

Step 3:
“Oh the calculation was in beta. But we will leave the declaration up anyway.”